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    Combining the Strengths of the Explainable Boosting Machine and Metabolomics Approaches for Biomarker Discovery in Acute Myocardial Infarction
    (Mdpi, 2024) Arslan, Ahmet Kadir; Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Algarni, Abdulmohsen; AL-Hashem, Fahaid; Ardigo, Luca Paolo
    Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI), a common disease that can have serious consequences, occurs when myocardial blood flow stops due to occlusion of the coronary artery. Early and accurate prediction of AMI is critical for rapid prognosis and improved patient outcomes. Metabolomics, the study of small molecules within biological systems, is an effective tool used to discover biomarkers associated with many diseases. This study intended to construct a predictive model for AMI utilizing metabolomics data and an explainable machine learning approach called Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM). The EBM model was trained on a dataset of 102 prognostic metabolites gathered from 99 individuals, including 34 healthy controls and 65 AMI patients. After a comprehensive data preprocessing, 21 metabolites were determined as the candidate predictors to predict AMI. The EBM model displayed satisfactory performance in predicting AMI, with various classification performance metrics. The model's predictions were based on the combined effects of individual metabolites and their interactions. In this context, the results obtained in two different EBM modeling, including both only individual metabolite features and their interaction effects, were discussed. The most important predictors included creatinine, nicotinamide, and isocitrate. These metabolites are involved in different biological activities, such as energy metabolism, DNA repair, and cellular signaling. The results demonstrate the potential of the combination of metabolomics and the EBM model in constructing reliable and interpretable prediction outputs for AMI. The discussed metabolite biomarkers may assist in early diagnosis, risk assessment, and personalized treatment methods for AMI patients. This study successfully developed a pipeline incorporating extensive data preprocessing and the EBM model to identify potential metabolite biomarkers for predicting AMI. The EBM model, with its ability to incorporate interaction terms, demonstrated satisfactory classification performance and revealed significant metabolite interactions that could be valuable in assessing AMI risk. However, the results obtained from this study should be validated with studies to be carried out in larger and well-defined samples.
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    Hybrid Explainable Artificial Intelligence Models for Targeted Metabolomics Analysis of Diabetic Retinopathy
    (Mdpi, 2024) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Colak, Cemil; Algarni, Abdulmohsen; Gormez, Yasin; Guldogan, Emek; Ardigo, Luca Paolo
    Background: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a prevalent microvascular complication of diabetes mellitus, and early detection is crucial for effective management. Metabolomics profiling has emerged as a promising approach for identifying potential biomarkers associated with DR progression. This study aimed to develop a hybrid explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) model for targeted metabolomics analysis of patients with DR, utilizing a focused approach to identify specific metabolites exhibiting varying concentrations among individuals without DR (NDR), those with non-proliferative DR (NPDR), and individuals with proliferative DR (PDR) who have type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: A total of 317 T2DM patients, including 143 NDR, 123 NPDR, and 51 PDR cases, were included in the study. Serum samples underwent targeted metabolomics analysis using liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry. Several machine learning models, including Support Vector Machines (SVC), Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), Logistic Regression (LR), and Multilayer Perceptrons (MLP), were implemented as solo models and in a two-stage ensemble hybrid approach. The models were trained and validated using 10-fold cross-validation. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were employed to interpret the contributions of each feature to the model predictions. Statistical analyses were conducted using the Shapiro-Wilk test for normality, the Kruskal-Wallis H test for group differences, and the Mann-Whitney U test with Bonferroni correction for post-hoc comparisons. Results: The hybrid SVC + MLP model achieved the highest performance, with an accuracy of 89.58%, a precision of 87.18%, an F1-score of 88.20%, and an F-beta score of 87.55%. SHAP analysis revealed that glucose, glycine, and age were consistently important features across all DR classes, while creatinine and various phosphatidylcholines exhibited higher importance in the PDR class, suggesting their potential as biomarkers for severe DR. Conclusion: The hybrid XAI models, particularly the SVC + MLP ensemble, demonstrated superior performance in predicting DR progression compared to solo models. The application of SHAP facilitates the interpretation of feature importance, providing valuable insights into the metabolic and physiological markers associated with different stages of DR. These findings highlight the potential of hybrid XAI models combined with explainable techniques for early detection, targeted interventions, and personalized treatment strategies in DR management.