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    Explainable artificial intelligence model for identifying COVID-19 gene biomarkers
    (Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2023) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Cicek, Ipek Balikci; Alkhateeb, Abedalrhman; Yagin, Burak; Colak, Cemil; Azzeh, Mohammad; Akbulut, Sami
    Aim: COVID-19 has revealed the need for fast and reliable methods to assist clinicians in diagnosing the disease. This article presents a model that applies explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods based on machine learning techniques on COVID-19 metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) samples.Methods: In the data set used in the study, there are 15,979 gene expressions of 234 patients with COVID-19 negative 141 (60.3%) and COVID-19 positive 93 (39.7%). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was applied to select genes associated with COVID-19. Support Vector Machine -Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SVM-SMOTE) method was used to handle the class imbalance problem. Logistics regression (LR), SVM, random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) methods were constructed to predict COVID-19. An explainable approach based on local interpretable model-agnostic expla-nations (LIME) and SHAPley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) methods was applied to determine COVID-19-associated biomarker candidate genes and improve the final model's interpretability.Results: For the diagnosis of COVID-19, the XGBoost (accuracy: 0.930) model outperformed the RF (accuracy: 0.912), SVM (accuracy: 0.877), and LR (accuracy: 0.912) models. As a result of the SHAP, the three most important genes associated with COVID-19 were IFI27, LGR6, and FAM83A. The results of LIME showed that especially the high level of IFI27 gene expression contributed to increasing the probability of positive class.Conclusions: The proposed model (XGBoost) was able to predict COVID-19 successfully. The results show that machine learning combined with LIME and SHAP can explain the biomarker prediction for COVID-19 and provide clinicians with an intuitive understanding and interpretability of the impact of risk factors in the model.
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    An Explainable Artificial Intelligence Model Proposed for the Prediction of Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and the Identification of Distinctive Metabolites
    (Mdpi, 2023) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Alkhateeb, Abedalrhman; Raza, Ali; Samee, Nagwan Abdel; Mahmoud, Noha F.; Colak, Cemil; Yagin, Burak
    Background: Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) is a complex and debilitating illness with a significant global prevalence, affecting over 65 million individuals. It affects various systems, including the immune, neurological, gastrointestinal, and circulatory systems. Studies have shown abnormalities in immune cell types, increased inflammatory cytokines, and brain abnormalities. Further research is needed to identify consistent biomarkers and develop targeted therapies. This study uses explainable artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques to identify discriminative metabolites for ME/CFS. Material and Methods: The model investigates a metabolomics dataset of CFS patients and healthy controls, including 26 healthy controls and 26 ME/CFS patients aged 22-72. The dataset encapsulated 768 metabolites into nine metabolic super-pathways: amino acids, carbohydrates, cofactors, vitamins, energy, lipids, nucleotides, peptides, and xenobiotics. Random forest methods together with other classifiers were applied to the data to classify individuals as ME/CFS patients and healthy individuals. The classification learning algorithms' performance in the validation step was evaluated using a variety of methods, including the traditional hold-out validation method, as well as the more modern cross-validation and bootstrap methods. Explainable artificial intelligence approaches were applied to clinically explain the optimum model's prediction decisions. Results: The metabolomics of C-glycosyltryptophan, oleoylcholine, cortisone, and 3-hydroxydecanoate were determined to be crucial for ME/CFS diagnosis. The random forest model outperformed the other classifiers in ME/CFS prediction using the 1000-iteration bootstrapping method, achieving 98% accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, 0.01 Brier score, and 99% AUC. According to the obtained results, the bootstrap validation approach demonstrated the highest classification outcomes. Conclusion: The proposed model accurately classifies ME/CFS patients based on the selected biomarker candidate metabolites. It offers a clear interpretation of risk estimation for ME/CFS, aiding physicians in comprehending the significance of key metabolomic features within the model.
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    Explainable Artificial Intelligence Paves the Way in Precision Diagnostics and Biomarker Discovery for the Subclass of Diabetic Retinopathy in Type 2 Diabetics
    (Mdpi, 2023) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Yasar, Seyma; Gormez, Yasin; Yagin, Burak; Pinar, Abdulvahap; Alkhateeb, Abedalrhman; Ardigo, Luca Paolo
    Diabetic retinopathy (DR), a common ocular microvascular complication of diabetes, contributes significantly to diabetes-related vision loss. This study addresses the imperative need for early diagnosis of DR and precise treatment strategies based on the explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework. The study integrated clinical, biochemical, and metabolomic biomarkers associated with the following classes: non-DR (NDR), non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR), and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients. To create machine learning (ML) models, 10% of the data was divided into validation sets and 90% into discovery sets. The validation dataset was used for hyperparameter optimization and feature selection stages, while the discovery dataset was used to measure the performance of the models. A 10-fold cross-validation technique was used to evaluate the performance of ML models. Biomarker discovery was performed using minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR), Boruta, and explainable boosting machine (EBM). The predictive proposed framework compares the results of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), natural gradient boosting for probabilistic prediction (NGBoost), and EBM models in determining the DR subclass. The hyperparameters of the models were optimized using Bayesian optimization. Combining EBM feature selection with XGBoost, the optimal model achieved (91.25 +/- 1.88) % accuracy, (89.33 +/- 1.80) % precision, (91.24 +/- 1.67) % recall, (89.37 +/- 1.52) % F1-Score, and (97.00 +/- 0.25) % the area under the ROC curve (AUROC). According to the EBM explanation, the six most important biomarkers in determining the course of DR were tryptophan (Trp), phosphatidylcholine diacyl C42:2 (PC.aa.C42.2), butyrylcarnitine (C4), tyrosine (Tyr), hexadecanoyl carnitine (C16) and total dimethylarginine (DMA). The identified biomarkers may provide a better understanding of the progression of DR, paving the way for more precise and cost-effective diagnostic and treatment strategies.
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    A Fecal-Microbial-Extracellular-Vesicles-Based Metabolomics Machine Learning Framework and Biomarker Discovery for Predicting Colorectal Cancer Patients
    (Mdpi, 2023) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Alkhateeb, Abedalrhman; Colak, Cemil; Azzeh, Mohammad; Yagin, Burak; Rueda, Luis
    Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common and lethal diseases among all types of cancer, and metabolites play a significant role in the development of this complex disease. This study aimed to identify potential biomarkers and targets in the diagnosis and treatment of CRC using high-throughput metabolomics. Metabolite data extracted from the feces of CRC patients and healthy volunteers were normalized with the median normalization and Pareto scale for multivariate analysis. Univariate ROC analysis, the t-test, and analysis of fold changes (FCs) were applied to identify biomarker candidate metabolites in CRC patients. Only metabolites that overlapped the two different statistical approaches (false-discovery-rate-corrected p-value < 0.05 and AUC > 0.70) were considered in the further analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed with biomarker candidate metabolites based on linear support vector machines (SVM), partial least squares discrimination analysis (PLS-DA), and random forests (RF). The model identified five biomarker candidate metabolites that were significantly and differently expressed (adjusted p-value < 0.05) in CRC patients compared to healthy controls. The metabolites were succinic acid, aminoisobutyric acid, butyric acid, isoleucine, and leucine. Aminoisobutyric acid was the metabolite with the highest discriminatory potential in CRC, with an AUC equal to 0.806 (95% CI = 0.700-0.897), and was down-regulated in CRC patients. The SVM model showed the most substantial discrimination capacity for the five metabolites selected in the CRC screening, with an AUC of 0.985 (95% CI: 0.94-1).
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    Pilot-Study to Explore Metabolic Signature of Type 2 Diabetes: A Pipeline of Tree-Based Machine Learning and Bioinformatics Techniques for Biomarkers Discovery
    (Mdpi, 2024) Yagin, Fatma Hilal; Al-Hashem, Fahaid; Ahmad, Irshad; Ahmad, Fuzail; Alkhateeb, Abedalrhman
    Background: This study aims to identify unique metabolomics biomarkers associated with Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) and develop an accurate diagnostics model using tree-based machine learning (ML) algorithms integrated with bioinformatics techniques. Methods: Univariate and multivariate analyses such as fold change, a receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and Partial Least-Squares Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA) were used to identify biomarker metabolites that showed significant concentration in T2D patients. Three tree-based algorithms [eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost)] that demonstrated robustness in high-dimensional data analysis were used to create a diagnostic model for T2D. Results: As a result of the biomarker discovery process validated with three different approaches, Pyruvate, D-Rhamnose, AMP, pipecolate, Tetradecenoic acid, Tetradecanoic acid, Dodecanediothioic acid, Prostaglandin E3/D3 (isobars), ADP and Hexadecenoic acid were determined as potential biomarkers for T2D. Our results showed that the XGBoost model [accuracy = 0.831, F1-score = 0.845, sensitivity = 0.882, specificity = 0.774, positive predictive value (PPV) = 0.811, negative-PV (NPV) = 0.857 and Area under the ROC curve (AUC) = 0.887] had the slight highest performance measures. Conclusions: ML integrated with bioinformatics techniques offers accurate and positive T2D candidate biomarker discovery. The XGBoost model can successfully distinguish T2D based on metabolites.