Learning Process and Asymmetry In Inflation Targeting Regime: Markov Switching Approach

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2013

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Eskisehir Osmangazi Univ, Fac Education

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

The Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT) practiced implicit inflation targeting strategy between years 2002 and 2005. The CBRT has started to practice explicit inflation targeting by the beginning of 2006. In this context, the bank announces the inflation target for each year and identifies the disinflation path followed by the CBRT. In this study, we analyze the behavior of the CBRT between years 2002 and 2011 in the context of King's (1997) model which includes forward looking expectations into monetary policy reaction functions. We employ Markov Switching Vector Autoregregression (MS-VAR) approach in order to investigate whether the CBRT has asymmetric behaviors. Results imply that the CBRT plays active or inactive role in the economy due to economic conditions. So, besides inflation targeting strategy, the bank practices monetary policy which supports the economic growth.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Inflation Targeting, Expectatiton, Markov Switching VAR

Kaynak

Eskisehir Osmangazi Universitesi Iibf Dergisi-Eskisehir Osmangazi University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Cilt

8

Sayı

1

Künye