A note on effects of fossil fuel reduction policies on atmospheric carbon dioxide buildup and global warming

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dc.contributor.authorAlagoz, Baris Baykant
dc.contributor.authorKeles, Cemal
dc.contributor.authorBaran, Burhan
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-04T13:35:01Z
dc.date.available2026-04-04T13:35:01Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.departmentİnönü Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractGlobal warming is a near-future major problem that has serious consequences on life on Earth. Accumulation of CO2 emission in the atmosphere becomes a dominating factor in the global warming process. This study introduces a global temperature uptrend model that considers effects of atmospheric CO2 buildup because of combustion of natural gas, oil and coal fuels. The model is based on earth's energy balance modeling and estimates impacts of fossil fuel-based CO2 emission on the average global temperature. To evaluate effects of fossil fuel reduction policies, this model is used to study yearly 3 %, 5 % and 7 % fossil fuel reduction scenarios on 2013-2022 global fuel consumption data. This backward projection indicated that the cumulative carbon dioxide emission of 10-year global fuel consumption has potential of about +0.023 degrees C/y global temperature rise between 2013 and 2022 years. Moreover, this model is also used for forward projections to discuss the effects of these 10year-long fossil fuel reduction programs on future trends of global temperature anomaly.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jastp.2026.106724
dc.identifier.issn1364-6826
dc.identifier.issn1879-1824
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105027111975
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2026.106724
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11616/109555
dc.identifier.volume279
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001665917700001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherPergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20250329
dc.subjectGlobal warming
dc.subjectFossil fuels
dc.subjectClimate control
dc.subjectGlobal temperature anomaly
dc.titleA note on effects of fossil fuel reduction policies on atmospheric carbon dioxide buildup and global warming
dc.typeArticle

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