Türkiye'de asgari ücret ve istihdam ilişkisi üzerine ekonometrik bir inceleme
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2023
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
İnönü Üniversitesi
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Türkiye'de son zamanlarda asgari ücret düzeyinde görülen artışların, ekonomiye ve sosyal hayatımıza etkisi kamu politikalarında çokça tartışılan konulardan biri olmuştur. Asgari ücretin ekonomideki etkileri açısından iktisat tarihinde farklı görüşler mevcuttur. Ancak ücret, çalışanın yaşam standartlarını belirlemekte hatta sosyal statüsünü oluşturmaktadır. Asgari ücret sosyal politika aracı olmasının yanı sıra makroekonomik değişkenler üzerinde de etkili olmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı asgari ücret ve istihdam ilişkisini incelemektir. Çalışma da Türkiye'de asgari ücretin istihdam ile olan ilişkisi 1992-2021 yılları referans alınarak ampirik analiz yoluyla incelenmiştir. Bu ilişki ARDL tekniğinden faydalanılmıştır. Ayrıca uzun dönemli tahmin sonuçlarında DOLS ve FMOLS teknikleri ile inceleniştir. Analizde kısa ve uzun dönemde asgari ücretin istihdamı azalttığı tespit edilmiştir. Türkiye'de asgari ücret düzeyinde yaşanan artışlar istihdam düzeyini negatif yönlü etkilediği gözlemlenmiştir. ARDL DOLS ve FMOLS yöntemleriyle elde edilen sonuçlara göre asgari ücretteki artışından en çok etkilenen sektör, hizmet sektörü olduğu gözlemlenmektedir. Ayrıca asgari ücretin, kadın ve erkek istihdamı üzerindeki etkisi incelendiğinde üç yöntemde de kadın istihdamında meydana gelen azalmanın erkek istihdamını göre daha fazla olduğu görülmektedir. Anahtar Kelimeler: Asgari Ücret, İstihdam, ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS
The impact of recent increases in the minimum wage level in Turkey on the economy and our social life has been one of the most discussed issues in public policies. There are different opinions in economic history regarding the effects of the minimum wage on the economy. However, the wage determines the living standards of the employee and even creates his social status. In addition to being a social policy tool, the minimum wage also affects macroeconomic variables. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between minimum wage and employment. In the study, the relationship between minimum wage and employment in Turkey was examined through empirical analysis with reference to the years 1992-2021. This relationship was used using the ARDL technique. In addition, long-term forecast results were examined with DOLS and FMOLS techniques. In the analysis, it was determined that the minimum wage reduces employment in the short and long term. It has been observed that increases in the minimum wage level in Turkey negatively affect the employment level. According to the results obtained with ARDL, DOLS and FMOLS methods, the increase in the minimum wage is mostly It is observed that the affected sector is the service sector. In addition, minimum wage, women and When the impact on male employment is examined, it is seen that the decrease in female employment is greater than that of male employment in all three methods. Key Words: Minimum Wage, Employment, ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS
The impact of recent increases in the minimum wage level in Turkey on the economy and our social life has been one of the most discussed issues in public policies. There are different opinions in economic history regarding the effects of the minimum wage on the economy. However, the wage determines the living standards of the employee and even creates his social status. In addition to being a social policy tool, the minimum wage also affects macroeconomic variables. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between minimum wage and employment. In the study, the relationship between minimum wage and employment in Turkey was examined through empirical analysis with reference to the years 1992-2021. This relationship was used using the ARDL technique. In addition, long-term forecast results were examined with DOLS and FMOLS techniques. In the analysis, it was determined that the minimum wage reduces employment in the short and long term. It has been observed that increases in the minimum wage level in Turkey negatively affect the employment level. According to the results obtained with ARDL, DOLS and FMOLS methods, the increase in the minimum wage is mostly It is observed that the affected sector is the service sector. In addition, minimum wage, women and When the impact on male employment is examined, it is seen that the decrease in female employment is greater than that of male employment in all three methods. Key Words: Minimum Wage, Employment, ARDL, DOLS, FMOLS
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Ekonomi, Economics, Çalışma Ekonomisi ve Endüstri İlişkileri
