Dynamic analysis of a mathematical model with health care capacity for COVID-19 pandemic
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2020
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
The fact that no there exists yet an absolute treatment or vaccine for COVID-19, which was declared as a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2020, makes very important spread out over time of the epidemic in order to burden less on hospitals and prevent collapsing of the health care system. This case is a consequence of limited resources and is valid for all countries in the world facing with this serious threat. Slowing the speed of spread will probably make that the outbreak last longer, but it will cause lower total death count. In this study, a new SEIR epidemic model formed by taking into account the impact of health care capacity has been examined and local and global stability of the model has been analyzed. In addition, the model has been also supported by some numerical simulations. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
New coronavirus, COVID-19, Health care capacity, Latent period, SEIR Model, Local and global stability analysis
Kaynak
Chaos Solitons & Fractals
WoS Q Değeri
Q1
Scopus Q Değeri
Q1
Cilt
139
