The spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on Turkish Unemployment

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dc.contributor.authorGuney, Ahmet
dc.contributor.authorKarakus, Mustafa
dc.contributor.authorGuney, Nuriye
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-04T13:31:22Z
dc.date.available2026-04-04T13:31:22Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentİnönü Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractT & uuml;rkiye is a small open economy with free capital mobility; therefore, it may be subject to international transmission of economic policy uncertainty shocks. This study seeks to determine whether foreign economic policy uncertainties drive unemployment fluctuations in T & uuml;rkiye. We investigate the spillover effects of global and regional economic policy uncertainty indexes and local variables on the Turkish labour market. The study's main findings show that unemployment is the highest net information receiver under full and rolling sample analysis. The findings also indicate that United States policy uncertainty affects interest rates and inflation through the capital channel. In contrast, European Union and Germany-induced effects affect industrial production and unemployment through the trade channel. The effect of policy uncertainty in EU countries is stronger on unemployment. Local factors influence unemployment more than global factors. Taking steps to control local factors would be beneficial for employment continuity by policymakers.
dc.identifier.doi10.26650/JEPR1367951
dc.identifier.endpage241
dc.identifier.issn2148-3876
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.startpage226
dc.identifier.trdizinid1280423
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.26650/JEPR1367951
dc.identifier.urihttps://search.trdizin.gov.tr/tr/yayin/detay/1280423
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11616/108760
dc.identifier.volume11
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001327185100005
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizin
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherIstanbul Univ
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Economic Policy Researches-Iktisat Politikasi Arastirmalari Dergisi
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20250329
dc.subjectEconomic policy uncertainty (EPU)
dc.subjectSpillover effects
dc.subjectUnemployment
dc.subjectLabour market
dc.titleThe spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on Turkish Unemployment
dc.typeArticle

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